2021-2070年日本人口预测报告（2023年修订版）（英）-81页.pdf

PopulationProjectionsforJapan(2023revision):2021to2070

Appendix:AuxiliaryProjections2071to2120

Contents

KeyMessages(4)

IOverviewofthePopulationProjectionsforJapan(7)

IISummaryoftheProjectionResults(7)

[ProjectionResultsforMedium-,High-,andLow-Fertility(Medium-Mortality)](7)

1.TrendsinTotalPopulation(7)

2.TrendsintheSizeandCompositionofthePopulationbytheMajorThreeAgeGroups(8)

3.Trendsindependencyratio(9)

4.ChangesinthePopulationPyramid(10)

[ProjectionResultsforMedium-Fertility(High-andLow-Mortality)](10)

1.SummaryofProjectionResultswithHigh-MortalityAssumption(10)

2.SummaryofProjectionResultswithLow-MortalityAssumption(10)

[ProjectionResultsforHigh-andLow-Fertility(High-,Low-Mortality)](11)

IIISummaryoftheMethodUsedforPopulationProjections(11)

1.BasePopulation(11)

2.AssumptionsforFertilityRatesandSexRatioatBirth(11)

3.AssumptionsforSurvivalRates(FutureLifeTable)(15)

4.AssumptionsforInternationalMigrationRates(Numbers)(16)

5.Long-rangeAuxiliaryProjections,ProjectionsfortheJapanesePopulation,andConditionalPopulation

Projections(17)

SummaryofProjectionResults(medium-mortalityprojection)(19)

SummaryofAssumptions(20)

IVProjectionResultsandAssumptions(23)

≪ProjectionResultsforMedium-,High-,andLow-Fertility(Medium-Mortality)≫(23)

≪ProjectionResultsforMedium-Fertility(Medium-,High-,andLow-Mortality)≫(35)

≪ComparisonofProjectionResultswithDifferentAssumptions≫(41)

≪Assumptions≫(47)

≪Long-rangeAuxiliaryProjections≫(55)

≪ProjectionsfortheJapanesePopulationandFertilityAssumptions≫(63)

≪ConditionalPopulationProj