2017-2022年视觉网络指数.pdfVIP

Cisco Visual Networking Index: Forecast and Trends, 2017–2022 This forecast is part of the Cisco® Visual Networking Index™ (Cisco VNI™), an ongoing initiative to track and forecast the impact of visual networking applications. This document presents the details of the Cisco VNI global IP traffic forecast, key trends and the underlying methodology. For more global, regional and select country-level projections, refer to the VNI Forecast Highlights tool. Executive summary Global traffic projections Annual global IP traffic will reach 4.8 ZB per year by 2022, or 396 Exabytes (EB) per month. In 2017, the annual run rate for global IP traffic was 1.5 ZB per year, or 122 EB per month. Global IP traffic will increase threefold over the next 5 years. Overall, IP traffic will grow at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 26 percent from 2017 to 2022. Monthly IP traffic will reach 50 GB per capita by 2022, up from 16 GB per capita in 2017. Busy hour Internet traffic is growing more rapidly than average Internet traffic. Busy hour (or the busiest 60minute period in a day) Internet traffic will increase by a factor of 4.8 between 2017 and 2022, and average Internet traffic will increase by a factor of 3.7. Global internet users and devices/Connections The number of devices connected to IP networks will be more than three times the global population by 2022. There will be 3.6 networked devices per capita by 2022, up from 2.4 networked devices per capita in 2017. There will be 28.5 billion networked devices by 2022, up from 18 billion in 2017. M2M connections will be more than half of the global connected devices and connections by 2022. The share of M2M connections will grow from 34 percent in 2017 to 51 percent by 2022. There will be 14.6 billion M2M connections by 2022. Smartphone traffic will exceed PC traffic. In 2