可共享-吴晓刚-Not a Zero-sum Game China’s Internal Migration and the Wellbeing of Rural-origin Children.pdfVIP
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Not a Zero-sum Game:
China’s Internal Migration and the Wellbeing of
Rural-origin Children
Xu Duoduo, Wu Xiaogang
Division of Social Science, HKUST
Oct 2016
1. Background
According to the 2010 census, 36 million rural migrant
children (aged 17 years or below) lived in cities; one third of
all children (i.e., over 61 million) in the countryside were left
behind by migrant parent(s), of which half were left behind by
both parents (ACWF 2013).
Existing Research
Costs & benefits of migrating to cities?
Xu and Xie (2015), Wu and Zhang (2015), Lu and Zhou (2013), Xiong (2015).
Costs & benefits of having migrant parents?
Hu (2012), Lu (2012), Mu and Grauw (2015), Chen et al. (2009).
To go or not to go?
Liang and Chen (2007), Wu and Zhang (2015).
Does local hukou payoff?
Liang and Chen (2007), Zhang and Treiman (2013).
Critiques
Inappropriate comparison strategy
Xu and Xie (2015), Zuccotti, Ganzeboom, and Guveli (2015).
Limited outcomes
Xu and Xie (2015), Wu and Zhang (2015).
Lack of understandings of the context and process of
migration
Xu and Wu (working paper).
2. Analytical Framework
Figure 2. Migration Processes and Typology of Rural-origin Children
Research Questions
What are the actual gains for rural children from migrating
to urban areas?
What are the consequences for migrant parents of leaving
their children behind in the countryside?
Between the two plausible migration strategies, which one
benefits rural children more?
Does obtaining a local urban hukou really pay off for rural-
origin children?
Multiple Child Development Outcomes
School performance
Physical health
Mental health
Future aspirations
Hypotheses
H1: Compared to rural non-migrant children, migrant
children in cities would enjoy som
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